Day 26: Updated Vegas Percentages

It seems as though the oddsmakers have lost interest in this series too- the only series line I found is on Matchbook, where the Rockies are 26:1. At least the Holliday HR made last night's game interesting for about half an hour.

Tonight the Rockies have their best shot at winning yet, with Vegas giving them a 43.3% chance. So if they win tonight they'll be up to about 8%, then they'll have to face Beckett. If they manage to get the series back to Boston everybody will be back on the bandwagon, claiming they have the "momentum". Which really shows how silly the whole concept of momentum is when applied to baseball.

Sportsbetting also has the WS MVP odds up again. Matt Holliday is 11:2 to win, which really couldn't make less sense. They Rockies have about a 1 in 30 chance of winning the series, yet one of their players is 5.5:1 to win an award that will be given to a player on the winning team.

Anyway, Beckett is still the favorite at 3:2, although it seems like the odds should have changed over the last few days, as the chances of him pitching again have been steadily decreasing.

Looking at the individual series stats, nobody on the Red Sox has more than 4 RBIs, and Pedroia has the only HR. Here are the stats whomever votes on this will care about:

So there's about a 1 in 10 chance that in a few hours the last two WS MVPs will be David Eckstein and Dustin Pedroia.

If the Red Sox lose tonight, Beckett goes back to being the overwhelming favorite. If they win, it seems like it'll really come down to who gets the big hits tonight. I think the top three guys here are probably pretty good bets, especially Ellsbury.

After three games, the most interesting part of the World Series is trying to figure out who'll be the MVP. It's been that kind of month.

Edit: OK, Ellsbury at 25:1 is really good. Sportsbook also has these same odds.