I understand that in some cases it's advantageous to schedule weak out of conference opponents (like, say, certain college sports that arbitrarily decide a champion, mostly based on W-L record). But in college basketball, isn't it pretty clear that playing nobody in November and December doesn't improve your chances come tournament time? It doesn't give you a chance to build up an impressive resume, it hurts your RPI, and keeps you off the national radar.Most teams seem to have figured this out. A good example this year is Texas. They started off ranked 16th, with people questioning how they'd fair after losing Durant. Wins against Tennessee (in New Jersey) and UCLA (at Pauley) dispelled that notion pretty quickly. They're now in the top five in both polls, and probably have the most impressive resume in the country- if the tournament started today (it doesn't), they 'd get a #1 seed.
Then, there's Clemson. Last year, they didn't receive a single vote in either preseason poll. Their pre-ACC schedule was as follows: Arkansas St., Monmouth, @Old Dominion, Furman, Appalachian St., Mississippi St., Charleston Southern, @Minnesota, Wofford, Georgia Southern, Western Carolina, Georgia, Georgia St.
Not surprisingly, they started off the year 17-0, climbing as high as 14th in the coaches' poll after winning their first three ACC games (which, really, reflects on how little attention the voters were paying, but that's another story). They proceeded to go 4-10 the rest of the way, finishing 7-9 in the conference and losing to Florida St. in the first round of the ACC tournament. They finished with a solid 21-10 record, but missed the NCAAs because they had a weak conference record and lacked a single impressive non-conference win.
So, they learned their lesson and put together a challenging non-ACC schedule this year, right? Not so much. The Tigers began the year 29th in the coaches poll. Their current record is 8-0, after beating Furman, Mississippi St., Old Dominion, Presbyterian, Gardner-Webb, Purdue, South Carolina, and East Carolina. Once again, they've ascended in the polls, and currently sit at 14th. They play DePaul, Mississippi and Alabama in the next month, but those teams aren't exactly powerhouses this year. They played one tournament team before January last year (ODU); they'll be lucky to match that number this year.
It really seems like they're putting themselves in a terrible position. By not playing anyone in November and December, their only chance to showcase themselves in the ACC. If, like last year, they don't have a stellar conference resume, they have nothing to fall back on. At least give yourself the opportunity to beat someone in the first couple months of the season. If you lose, what's the big loss? It's not like overall W-L record is a main criteria that the committee looks at in March.
Paw: here.



7 comments:
last year, they played one tournament team (old dominion) before january.
You know, I thought they did, but I searched last year's bracket for "Old Dominion", and got nothing. They're listed as ODU. Fixed it, thanks.
Hey, that ECU team has already upset NC State. So they have to be pretty good. Right? Right?????
/sobbing
Not to nitpick or anything, but the Texas win over Tennessee was in the Legends Classic in New Jersey, not a true road game. But your point is a good one nonetheless...
Clemson is playing Charlotte in Jan. While Charlotte has dropped a gimme to Monmouth, they have Beat Wake, SIU and Davidson and lost a close one to GTech.
Charlotte *may* sneak into NCAA tournament contention by the end of the A-10 season.
That Clemson schedule isn't Temple or Gonzaga-esque, but it's not terrible (like last year).
Although their next game is against PR-Mayasomethinginspanish. Gross.
New school, same old Oliver Purnell. (I went to Dayton, where he definitely overstayed his welcome)
Well, if you want to make it to the tournament in the ACC, you pretty much have to be competitive in conference. Why give yourselves more chances to lose when it doesn't really make much difference. Especially for a program like Clemson where it was never common to win your early season games, the importance of just winning basketball games can not be discounted. Get better in the ACC, let the rest of it sort itself out.
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