This week's Patriots undefeated odds, from Bookmaker:
Well this got boring. It was a lot more interesting when there were nine possible outcomes. The Pats are favored by 13.5 in the Meadowlands on Saturday, and you would have to bet $11 on them winning straight up to win a single dollar.
So, they're almost 90% to go 16-0. But that doesn't matter at this point, really. If they go 16-0 and then lose in the playoffs, they won't be remembered as the "Undefeated" team, they'll be remembered (fairly or not) as the "16-0 Team That Choked in the Playoffs".
The question becomes, what are the odds that they win the Super Bowl? Those odds at seven different sites are below, as well as the % chance the line indicates they have at winning it.
Not even 50%. Assuming the two are mutually exclusive (which is not a perfect assumption, but that's okay), 88.6% to beat the Giants multiplied by 49.7% to win the SB gives them a 44.0% shot at finishing 19-0.
Also, BetUS has the over/under for the temperature at kickoff of the Super Bowl at 72.5 degrees. As you may have gathered, they have props on pretty much anything.
Photo: SI.
2 comments:
your odds and % are a friggin' mess. First of all, a 50% chance of anything is expressed as +100, no? Secondly, as one example, you have -200 at Bookmaker equating to 47.4% while -200 at VIP equates to 51.8%. Huh!?? Also, your best line of -130 (meaning the slimmest odds) has the 3rd highest %?
It depends on what all the SB odds add up to at each site. For example, if the odds are +100, that's initially 50%, but if all the SB odds on that site add up to 130%, that doesn't work, so you have to divide each of them by 1.3, which brings it down to 38.5%.
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