Essentially New England vs. the field at this point, which is to be expected. I would guess the Pats' 51.1% breaks down to something like an 88% chance of winning their first game, 75% for their second, and 78% for the SB (neutral site, but against an NFC team clearly inferior to the Colts, their likely AFC Championship opponent.)As far as I can tell, the best you can do on the Pats to win the SB is -138 at Matchbook, and -145 at The Greek.
Bodog has the two most likely SB matchups as Pats-Cowboys (2/3) and Pats-Packers (7/2). Indy-Dallas is third, at 5/1. The highest odds I have seen are at The Greek for Bucs-Chargers and Giants-Chargers, at 172.5:1 each. (Something like Titans-Redskins would obviously be much higher than that, but these sites don't list all the possible matchups, and have the field at around 5:1.)
The "Early Super Bowl Line", which was once as high as AFC -16.5 (after New England's 45-point win over the Redskins) is down to 11.
As usual, BetUS has some completely random props. The O/U for total points scored this weekend is 160.5, and the O/U for FGs is 12.5. The prop for Randy Moss' total TD catches in the playoffs came out at 5 (which seemed almost ridiculously high), but is now down to 4.5.
The playoff favorites for most receiving, passing, and rushing yards are Moss (+200), Brady (EV), and Maroney (+350), respectively. I'm shocked. Amusingly, Eli Manning has the highest odds of anyone, at 30:1 to have the most passing yards.
0 comments:
Post a Comment