NCAA Tournament Odds, By Conference

BetUS has some odds up on how many teams each conference will send to the NCAA tournament. They are below. I've also included what teams Joe Lunardi has in the tournament in his latest Bracketology, with their seeds in parenthesis. Keep in mind that Lunardi's most recent bracket update was last Monday.

Atlantic 10
Over 3 -160 (53%)
Under 3 -120 (47%)

Lunardi: Xavier (6), Dayton (5), Rhode Island (9), UMass (9)

Xavier is in (I am a big fan of this Xavier team, if you haven't noticed). Dayton should be in, but they've been playing so poorly of late without Chris Wright. Lunardi has them pretty high before they got destroyed by Xavier, but they're probably a 6 or 7 at the moment. Wright is probably out for awhile longer, and they could continue to slip.

Rhode Island and UMass will probably end up being on the bubble. Three tournament teams seems about right for the A10; I think two is more likely than four.

Big 10
Over 4.5 -155 (57%)
Under 4.5 +115 (43%)

Lunardi: Wisconsin (3), Indiana (3), Michigan St. (3), Purdue (9), Ohio St. (11)

I wrote about the B10 the other day, so I won't spend too much time on it here. The top three are in, and I'd be surprised if OSU doesn't make it. This line makes sense; they'll probably end up with five, with Purdue or Minnesota being the fifth. But four is certainly possible.

Big 12
Over 5.5 -150 (56%)
Under 5.5 +110 (44%)

Lunardi: Kansas (1), Texas (3), Baylor (6), Kansas St. (7), Texas A&M (8)

Top two are in. Baylor is now 4-0 in the B12 after their 5OT win against TA&M. With the talent they have, KSU better make it. So that's four.

A&M is really digging a hole for themselves. They're 1-3 in conference, and haven't played Kansas or Texas yet. They beat Ohio St. in the preseason NIT, but the didn't do much else in non-conference. They are 0-3 on the road. They'll likely end up making it, but it might be close.

Okahoma has a decent shot. The three game win streak against Arkansas, Gonzaga and West Virginia will help. I'd think they'll be in if they get to nine wins in conference, which is doable.

Nebraska has a couple decent non-conference wins (ASU, Oregon), but they've been terrible on the road. I can't see them making it. Mizzou is 0-5 on the road, but they've beaten Texas and Purdue at home. They have eight losses already, it'll be tough for them to get in.

So that's four teams that should get in, two that probably will, and couple that are very questionable. The O/U looks dead on; probably six, possibly only five.

Big East
Over 7.5 -120 (50%)
Under 7.5 -120 (50%)

LunardI: Georgetown (2), West Virginia (7), Louisville (12), Pittsburgh (4), Notre Dame (7), Connecticut (12), Marquette (4), Providence (10), Villanova (8)

The Big East just has way too many teams. 7.5 sounds good to me. Providence is a tournament team? Really? That would surprise me.

MWC
Over 3 -150 (56%)
Under 3 +110 (44%)

Lunardi: San Diego St. (12)

Three seems pretty high for the MWC, doesn't it? I really don't know. Someone who follows this conference a lot more closely than myself could provide some insight here. That's why we have comments.

Pac-10
Over 6 -160 (56%)
Under 6 +120 (44%)

Lunardi: UCLA (2), Arizona St. (8), Arizona (8). Washington St. (2), Oregon (9), Stanford (4)

UCLA, Washington St., Arizona, Stanford should all get in. Lunardi had USC as the last team out, I think they'll probably end up getting in. Arizona St. started off 4-0 in the P10, but that was because they played three home games, faced Arizona without Bayless, and won @Cal in OT. I think ASU and Oregon could both get in. This line might push, but I'd be really surprised if they only get five.

SEC
Over 5.5 -170 (59%)
Under 5.5 +130 (41%)

Lunardi: Tennessee (1), Vanderbilt (5), Mississippi St. (10), Mississippi (5)

Tennessee is in. Vandy and Ole Miss would have to have Clemson level collapses to miss the tourney. Florida really did nothing in non-conference, but their SEC record should be enough to offset that. Same goes for Mississippi St., but they're already 4-0 in the SEC.

Arkansas will probably be on the bubble. UGA lost to Tulane and East Tennessee St. in Hawaii, so it's difficult to take them seriously.

I thought this line was really high when I first saw it, since I don't think of the SEC as being very good this year. Which is true, and they may only have one team higher than a 6 seed. But they've got all these 6-11 seeds, so there's a good chance they sneak six teams in.

They didn't have ACC odds, I have no idea why.