Monday, May 26, 2008

More NBA Draft Odds

Now that the order has been determined, Sportsbook has posted additional odds on the upcoming NBA Draft. The odds for the #1 pick have not changed- Rose is the favorite at -130, and Beasley is even. There are no odds on the #2 pick because, given the 1/1a nature of the draft, that'd be redundant.

For the next three picks they don't have odds on each individual one, but rather the 3-4-5 combination:

Not surprisngly there is a ton of juice on these- they add up to 150%.

As of now, the consensus seems to be that Lopez will go third (to Minnesota), and Bayless will go fourth (to Seattle). Both these odds, NBADraft.net, DraftExpress, and Chad Ford agree on that much.

Picking fifth, it looks like Memphis will set the tone for the rest of the draft. Sportsbook put Mayo in there for whatever reason, but it could also be Love, and NBADraft.net has the Grizzlies taking Anthony Randolph out of LSU.

Which brings us to the Knicks. Sportsbook has a prop on whether Danilo Gallinari will play his first regular season game for New York. "Yes" is -150, while "no" is +120. That is a pretty bold statement that Sportsbook is making- they're saying that there is about a 57% chance the Knicks will take 19-year old Italian.

If betting on these, I'd go with uncertainty. That would mean the field at +140 for the 3-4-5 combo, and "no" at +120 for the Knicks taking Gallinari. The draft is still a month away, it seems very early to be predicting the 3-6 picks with that much certainty.

1 comments:

  1. I don't understand how books can offer propositions on things like this where the potential for tampering is through the roof.

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