USC is a huge favorite to win the Pac-10, and Duke sucks. That is about the extent of my college football insight in early June.
Monday, June 9, 2008
2008 College Football Conference Odds
I have been waiting for win totals to pop up somewhere, but these (from BetUS) will have to do for now.
USC is a huge favorite to win the Pac-10, and Duke sucks. That is about the extent of my college football insight in early June.
USC is a huge favorite to win the Pac-10, and Duke sucks. That is about the extent of my college football insight in early June.
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6 comments:
Yikes. Georgia Tech, NC State and Louisville, mayyyybe. UCLA kinda sorta maybe not really. Iowa does get one of those magical no-OSU no-UM years, plus Wisky, Penn State and Purdue at home...but then again they suck. This is underwhelming.
Wake Forest at +600 might be a decent play. They benefit from a very survivable conference schedule--they get FSU while they still will have players suspended from the cheating scandal, play Clemson at home, and get UVA, Miami, and Duke from the other side of the conference. I think they've got a good enough shot at making the ACC championship game to justify it.
UNC might be worth a sleeper pick too--they had the same ACC record as NC State did last season, but NC State lost five ACC games by 17 or more points, while UNC lost four ACC games by 7 or fewer points. I'd think UNC is a lot closer to breaking through, especially since their division looks potentially vulnerable this year with VT, GT, and Miami all facing a lot of question marks.
Miami will obviously be improved this year, but +350 is absolutely ridiculous. Question marks is an understatement. I feel like they are barely better than Maryland.
What percentage of times would USC have to win to make -300 profitable? I can't imagine ever laying chalk on a conference champion around 4 months before conference play starts. There is a real good shot that they run the table, but that is outrageous.
"What percentage of times would USC have to win to make -300 profitable?"
Over 75%. And that's before you factor in the absurd amount of time you're tying your money up for.
I obviously know the Big Ten the best, and Michigan at +500 might be the worst bet on the board, even with their inevitable win in Happy Valley in October.
My knowledge pertains only to the BIG10 as well but i would have to agree with am19psu that MICH at 5/1 is reeeeeeealy bad.
Penn St. at 5/1 is the only real value i see. Penn St. has to go on the road to Ohio St. and Wisc. however.
If Penn St. gets steady QB play they should only drop 1 or 2 games in conference. 2 losses might win the BIG 10 this year.
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