The Greek has posted win totals for 48 D1 college football teams. They are listed below, along with the juice on each, and the true expectation for each team after the juice is factored in. These do not include conference championship or Bowl games; each team is scheduled to play 12 games.
Additionally, we can infer the true W% of each team, and thus their approximate odds of finishing the regular season undefeated. Here are those numbers for the nation's ten best teams (according to these odds):
Monday, July 14, 2008
2008 NCAAF Wins Over/Unders
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2 comments:
Gotta love the Commodores. Unlike basketball, they're actually better on the road.
Using the win % to calculate probability of going 12-0 is wrong.
that would assume their win % for each game is constant which it isn't.
you need to look at individual game % to calculate it accurately
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