Actual NL Cy Young Odds

Different format for this one, since the last one was so ugly. The second column is each player's predicted Cy Young Predictor finish, and the third is their odds at Bodog.

I'm not sure how they figure Lincecum to be the favorite over Webb at this point. I know they haven't been historically bad, but the Giants' offense is still not good. Webb is already two wins ahead, and he's in a good position to add to that lead going forward. Regardless, I don't think there's value in either of those--the NL race is much tighter than the AL.

Webb and Lincecum have created some separation between themselves and the rest of the field, which shows in these odds. Hamels stands out a bit, at +1500. He's had a fantastic year thus far, with a 3.16 ERA and 126:34 K:BB in a league leading 142.2 innings. He only has nine wins, but with that lineup, that shouldn't be too much of a problem the rest of the way.

Zambrano is overvalued at +800. That's probably because his ERA (2.85) is so much lower than his QERA (4.53). His HR rate is down over 50% from last year, but his ground ball rate is only marginally higher, and his K rate is down significantly.

There is a big dropoff between Zambrano and the rest of the field. Santana still has a chance--he has a great history in the second half, for whatever that's worth--but he only has eight wins, and there are a lot of very good pitchers in front of him.