Tampa Bay, 10:1 (Carib)
+275 to win the AL East (Carib)
Current Record: 62-44
PECOTA: 80.8%
Tampa won this afternoon--although it wasn't easy--to finish up a solid 4-3 road trip. I actually think there's more value in betting on them to win the division than there has been in awhile. While everybody has been focusing on the Manny saga, Boston has dropped five of six at home, allowing the Rays to open up a three game lead.
The way Tampa's schedule sets up down the stretch is interesting. They don't play NYY or BOS in August, but I wouldn't say they have an easy schedule; they have a nine game west coast trip (although they don't have to go to LA), a weekend series @CHW, and host the Tigers, Indians, Angels, Blue Jays and Orioles.
It gets a little ridiculous in September. Their first five series of the month are: vsNYY, @TOR, @BOS, @NYY, vsBOS. That's an insane stretch, especially those middle three. Hopefully the Rays can maintain their cushion through August, because they're going to need it.
(Also, it now looks like the Rays are pursuing Dunn as a Plan B if they don't end up getting Bay. This is good news. Much more on this in Thursday's live-blog.)
Current Record: 63-44
PECOTA: 93.3%
The Cubs won again today, and have opened up a four game lead on the Brewers.
I really don't know why they leave these division odds up, without updating them, all week. The Cubs are the best team in the league and have a four game lead in their division. They have better than a 56% chance of winning the division. This isn't rocket science.
2 comments:
I just put a lot of money on the Brewers and their good odds just a couple of days ago. Wow, how quickly that bet turned sour.
at least I have a chance to make up for it by taking advantage of a little arbitrage
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