About a month ago, everybody was talking about how home teams were winning at the unusually high rate of 58%. Many explanations were proposed, including increased parity, the decrease in scoring, scheduling, an influx of younger players, and amphetamines (or lack thereof).
There hasn't been much discussion of this since. Why? In June, home teams won 53% of the time (214-190), right back at the historical frequency. So as intriguing as some of the theories were, it looks (for now) like it was just statistical noise.
That is all. Just thought I'd share.
4 comments:
Just curious, and I haven't looked up the data. June saw a lot of interleague games. I am curious as to the home/away breakdown of these interleague games. Perhaps the NL was the home team in a higher percentage of the June interleague games, which brought the percentage down from 58% to 53%.
vr, Xeifrank
The only pre-June interleague games were these series:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/scoreboard?d=2008-05-18
Eight of the 14 series were played in NL parks.
With 8 of the 14 interleague series (~57% of the games) being played in NL parks, perhaps that is part of the reason why the HFA number dropped? AL teams are better and performed well on the road vs NL teams. Just a theory.
vr, Xei
No. Those interleague games were in May. That means there were more interleague games in AL parks in June.
Even if it were the opposite way, that's not nearly enough for the five point drop.
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