Thursday, September 11, 2008

Futures Watch: Week 24

Tampa Bay, 7:1 (VIP)
Current Record: 86-57
PECOTA Playoff Odds: 99.7%

That was fantastic. Just finally winning a game in Boston was a relief, but taking two of three is very impressive, especially since both Shields and Garza didn't pitch.

I certainly don't wish harm on anyone over a silly little game (well...), but the Rays are just a better team when Percival is on the DL. Including tonight, he has a 13:19 K:BB ratio and has allowed six HRs in 18 innings since mid-June. Tampa's bullpen isn't lacking for depth, and they definitely don't need their sixth-best reliever (Wheeler, Miller, Howell, Balfour, Bradford) pitching the ninth.

Here are the updated Rays' Playoff Magic Number standings. Essentially, they have to clinch better records than both NYY and TBJ, and one of the two Central teams.


There aren't really any good odds up right now. Predictably, Bodog has changed Boston's WS odds from 7.5:1 to 4.5:1.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

re: Boston, why 'predictably'? I'm sorry, don't quite follow the reasoning, though I have notice the surge in Boston betting in the last 12 hours on my site.

Vegas Watch said...

Just because their Bodog odds last week were so out of line with everything else, that's all.

Post a Comment