New format this week. Feel the excitement. Each point is the odds of the Lions going winless right before they play the listed team. For example, this week they play the Bucs; they currently have a 12.9% chance of finishing 0-16.
As you can see by the two significant jumps, Detroit's best chances to notch a win are against Minnesota and New Orleans. After this week, those are probably the only games in which they'll be dogs of less than 10 points.
Here's the same graph for Tennessee's 16-0 odds:
I doubt a 15-0 team would be an underdog in Week 17, but this is still interesting. Even if the Titans are two games away from going undefeated, they'd have less than a 1 in 3 chance of finishing the year 16-0 because of their tough schedule in the final weeks.
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Perfect Season Week 12 Update
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6 comments:
Week 17 if going to be tough for the Titans.
The colts would probably play hard to stop the 16-0 if it was a meaningless game, but if the Colts need that game for a playoff spot, it's going to be insane.
The colts would probably play hard to stop the 16-0 if it was a meaningless game, but if the Colts need that game for a playoff spot, it's going to be insane.
Yep. Pretty much a carbon copy of Pats-Giants in Week 17 last year.
I love graphs.
That is all.
No, the Colts wouldn't play hard if it was meaningless for them. Just last year, Dungy called off the dogs during a week 17 game that was a must-win for the Titans to make the playoffs. If he cared more about the health of his team than the integrity of the regular season's effect on the playoffs, then I doubt he'd care about a 16-0 regular season mark.
"I love graphs.
That is all."
Do you really love the graphs, or are you just saying it because you saw it?
Hey Vegas Watch,
Do you have an updated Lion's perfect season?
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