Sunday, January 24, 2010

Opening Super Bowl Line

Here's what Pinnacle opened it at right after the Saints game ended:

They have clearly taken a lot of action on the Colts since putting that number out there, as Indianapolis is currently favored -4.5 -116/+107. This clearly has something to do with how both teams looked this week, but is still a bit surprising; SportsBetting posted prospective lines last week and had the Saints at +3 -120 in this matchup.

The current money line, -210/+190, gives the Colts a 66.3% chance of winning. That's slightly shorter than the normal ML for similar spreads; I'm not sure how much of that is the books shading it because the underdog ML usually attracts a lot of action in the Super Bowl, and how much of the difference is caused by the high total (55.5).

3 comments:

  1. At the time I write this, SIA is shopping -5.5 -110/-110 and -195/+165 on the ML. Ridiculous. They do know their customers, I suppose.

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  2. "SIA is shopping -5.5 -110/-110. Ridiculous"

    Which equals -4.5 -118/-102...

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  3. It is now -5.5 across the board. Total has gone up 1 point to 56.5 as well.

    It's either a slaughter or the Saints win outright.

    ReplyDelete