Comments on Vegas Watch: 2009 NFL Survivor: Week 11

I think I'd go with Tennessee in Week 14 if I were...

2009-11-24T11:34:06.070-05:00

I think I'd go with Tennessee in Week 14 if I were you. Also, week 15 I'd go maybe Houston (@St Louis) or Philly (home vs. SF). Then you can save AZ for week 16 when they are home vs. St Louis (who they just beat easily in St Louis)

I'd be nervous with Washinton's D vs Philly. Chic...

2009-11-24T10:57:05.689-05:00

I'd be nervous with Washinton's D vs Philly. Chicago kept it close and Wash seems like a better team. Dallas will be ready to play and will pound the rock on the ground opening the big shots down filed.

Who do I go with week 14?
Teams used
NO
WASH
BALT
INDY
PITT
GB
NE
CHI
ATL
MIN
JAC
12-DALL
13-CINCI
14-
15-AZ
16-
17-
Leaning Tenn-14 and Ginats -16 ??

Down to 2 players
Help

I am nervous about Dallas....not sure I trust them...

2009-11-24T08:29:34.772-05:00

I am nervous about Dallas....not sure I trust them to win after almost losing to Washington. I am debating between Philly home vs. Washington or Atlanta home vs. Tampa Bay

Should I take Cincy this week and the Steelers nex...

2009-11-23T23:59:40.218-05:00

Should I take Cincy this week and the Steelers next week or Dallas this week and the Steelers next week?

Who do you guys think I should take in week 12 and...

2009-11-23T23:58:22.164-05:00

Who do you guys think I should take in week 12 and also in future games? These are the teams I have taken so far... This is a winner take all $1550.00 with six guys and gals left.

Ravens
Redskins
Eagles
Colts
Giants
Packers
Patriots
Bears
Seahawks
Vikings
Jags

Thanks,
Willy

Wow, that was close!!!

2009-11-22T16:10:11.403-05:00

Wow, that was close!!!

I would say use the Saints this week; The Pats hav...

2009-11-20T10:40:58.136-05:00

I would say use the Saints this week; The Pats have many more sure wins after this week. They still play the Dolphins, Bills and Panthers. The Saints have a tough schedule ahead and the only other time you may use them is Week 16 home vs. TB

I have the Patriots AND Saints...Which is the bett...

2009-11-20T02:10:46.238-05:00

I have the Patriots AND Saints...Which is the better play?

Daniel, I too have used Balt and was looking for...

2009-11-19T15:47:03.185-05:00

Daniel,
I too have used Balt and was looking forward to week 14. In addition to Tenn I was also looking at Sea @ Hou, with Hou being my pick. VW, comments?

Not sure if posting this for feedback or just to s...

2009-11-19T11:56:09.970-05:00

Not sure if posting this for feedback or just to show people another example of a rest of the year list, either way here you go...
Week 1: BAL vs KC
Week 2: WAS vs STL
Week 3: NYG @ TB
Week 4: SF vs STL
Week 5: PHI vs TB
Week 6: GB vs DET
Week 7: IND @ STL
Week 8: SD vs OAK
Week 9: ATL vs WAS
Week 10: MIN vs DET
Week 11: NO @ TB
Week 12: DAL vs OAK
Week 13: PIT vs OAK
Week 14: NE vs CAR
Week 15: DEN vs OAK (or SEA vs TB)
Week 16: CIN vs KC
Week 17: Whoever has something to play for vs someone who doesn't
(Subject to shuffling as the year develops if I'm still in the pool)

Just stumbled across your site and it is great! So...

2009-11-19T11:48:44.562-05:00

Just stumbled across your site and it is great! So far I have used the following in this order:

NO, WAS, BAL, SF, NYG, PIT, GB, SD, SEA, MIN

As you can see, I have used Pit and MIN already. This week I am thinking of taking the Jags, but they scare me.

If they win, it will set me up for the following:

12-DAL
13-CIN
14-IND
15-NE
16-AZ
17-roll the dice

Any thoughts? should I use NE this week and figure something else out for week 15?

Update to previous post - I have already taken the...

2009-11-19T11:27:57.130-05:00

Update to previous post - I have already taken the following (in order):
Bal, Was, SD, Hou, Phi, GB, NE, Chi, Sea, Min

I am contemplating the following:
11 - Pit
12 - Dal
13 - NO or Cin
14 - Ten
15 - Ari
16 - Cin or Atl
17 - roll the dice

Thoughts?

VW, Thanks for posting every week. Taken: NE, Atl...

2009-11-19T08:38:45.180-05:00

VW, Thanks for posting every week.

Taken: NE, Atl, Phi, Indy, NYG, Pitt, GB, NO, SD, Min (in order)

Here is what I am thinking going forward
11 - Jax
12 - Dal
13 - Cincy
14 - Balt
15 - Sea or Hou
16 - Ariz
17 - Who knows

Thoughts?

I am contemplating the following: 11 - Pit 12 - Da...

2009-11-19T07:48:25.061-05:00

I am contemplating the following:
11 - Pit
12 - Dal
13 - NO or Cin
14 - Ten
15 - Ari
16 - Cin or Atl
17 - roll the dice

Thoughts?

Not feeling that confident in Jacksonville this we...

2009-11-19T01:24:41.997-05:00

Not feeling that confident in Jacksonville this week so I'm waffling between them and the Steelers.

If I use the Steelers this week, thoughts on using the Bears in Week 13 against the Rams? I also could potentially use Carolina that week against Tampa Bay.

Sorry I also just realized I have denver to possib...

2009-11-18T23:48:13.063-05:00

Sorry I also just realized I have denver to possibly use for week 15 what do you think of the rundown?

Sorry for all the questions

Alright thanks Jacob, For week 16 I have Arizona ...

2009-11-18T23:46:26.006-05:00

Alright thanks Jacob,

For week 16 I have Arizona which I think would be fine
Then I'm assuming as you hinted you're thinking cincinatti and pittsburgh for weeks 12 and 13 I have both of those

But looking forward then for week 14 I don't have baltimore, so I am considering Tennessee home to st louis and then for week 17 possibly Indy at buffalo

But this leaves me with a problem for week 15, what do you suggest I do?

To recap I have, pittsburgh, cincinatti, indy, tennessee, arizona, jacksonville, new orleans and atlanta left as usable teams (plus the giants and bears)

Thanks again

I would go with New Orleans if you have a good opt...

2009-11-18T23:03:08.090-05:00

I would go with New Orleans if you have a good option other than the Saints in Week 16, otherwise I'd stick with Jacksonville.

Hey Jacob, So I only came upon your advice in wee...

2009-11-18T22:13:03.636-05:00

Hey Jacob,

So I only came upon your advice in week 2 and I used baltimore in week one so I still have new orleans.

Should I be using new orleans this week or sitting on them for a future week. I'm never sure which team will show up with Jacksonville and am just wondering what my best option is.

Thanks for all your help

The line has actually tightened on the Jags game.....

2009-11-18T21:09:58.072-05:00

The line has actually tightened on the Jags game... shows what I know! That's why I come here. Thanks VW, the Pats are my pick this week.

Blame my own blog being blocked at work for this m...

2009-11-18T20:02:33.656-05:00

Blame my own blog being blocked at work for this mess:

Unpainted: If the line was going to climb to double digits because of the Jauron firing, it would have already. It has not. I would probably go with the Pats in your situation.

Kyle B.: Indy will likely be a good option in W4 since you've already used Baltimore. I think you are right, something like DAL/CIN/PIT/IND/ARI/SF/whatever probably makes sense, the only thing is that CIN will probably be better than SF in W16, so you could do something like JAX/DAL/PIT/IND/ARI/SF/CIN/whatever.

Jeff: Top eight options this week, considering how much future value they have but not where it's placed/scenarios for use:

New England
Minnesota
New Orleans
Jacksonville
Pittsburgh
Dallas
Arizona
Cincinnati

Kristen: It's close; I think the Jags are the slightly better pick, but since neither of them have much future value at all it doesn't make a huge difference either way. Jacksonville is definitely more likely to win this week though.

Bobby: I would make sure not to pick teams that have even a reasonable chance of having a home game in the playoffs.

ahhruff: Hello sir. That looks about right, although enough people are likely going to finish 17-0 in the ESPN pool that you're going to need at least 2-3 high scoring weeks to win the tiebreaker. I personally don't really care enough about that enough to switch up my whole strategy though, I'd rather just give myself the best chance to make it through the year and see what happens from there.

adam: Thanks, fixed.

mclyker: Yes, I'd definitely go with New England if I could. Especially now that they're up to 83.0% to win, the Pats are a great option this week.

mburanicz: I tend to not go by "old addages". If you have another strong option in W16 I'd go ahead and take the Saints this week.

VW, First, great posts....really appreciate all...

2009-11-18T18:55:44.719-05:00

VW,
First, great posts....really appreciate all the effort and hard work you put into this.

My question is I still have NO available, would this be the week to use them? I was also looking at JAC for this week as well. But I could have sworn I remember an old addage from way back that swears against betting against a team firing/hiring a new coach mid season. Teams tend to rise up to the occasion. But I could be wrong.....

NO does host TB in week 16 but there could be other options such as Det @ SF. Thoughts??

Really really appreciate the work you put into thi...

2009-11-18T18:15:50.820-05:00

Really really appreciate the work you put into this.

I still have the Pats left... better pick than Jags this week?

Thanks!

It should probably be the Broncos instead of the R...

2009-11-18T14:48:48.956-05:00

It should probably be the Broncos instead of the Redskins in your first paragraph.

Already Used = Saints, Skins, Baltimore, Texans, P...

2009-11-18T14:26:06.292-05:00

Already Used = Saints, Skins, Baltimore, Texans, Philly, Green Bay, Pats, Chargers, Seahawks, & Dolphins.

Plan for the rest of the year (noting the tiebreaker is most points scored by your week 17 selection)

Week 11 Vikings vs Seahawks
Week 12 Cowboys vs Oakland
Week 13 Bengals vs Detroit
Week 14 Steelers vs Clowns
Week 15 Broncos vs Oakland
Week 16 Cardinals vs Rams
Week 17 Colts at Buffalo

If Peyton is taking week 17 off I plan to use the Falcons @ Tampa Bay as they present the highest scoring opportunity left on the board.

Thoughts? I miss anything?