tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post4375506549154033955..comments2009-10-20T20:49:16.476-04:00Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683vegaswatch@gmail.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-28960629247579056562009-10-20T20:49:16.476-04:002009-10-20T20:49:16.476-04:00I have been using 3.6% of DAVE = one point. I haven&#39;t empirically tested it, but it was suggested to me by someone who has and it has produced reasonable enough results.Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-90911266734872806662009-10-20T14:04:03.700-04:002009-10-20T14:04:03.700-04:00VW,<br /><br /> How are you calculating potential spreads from the DAVE ratings? I have been messing around with the numbers and cannot replicate your results.<br /><br />Thanks.Matthew Peterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09976747088139028291noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-84152625574323943982009-10-16T18:47:45.715-04:002009-10-16T18:47:45.715-04:00These numbers give the Rams a 6.1% chance of going 0-16, and a 1 in 43,990,475 shot at winning their rest of the games.<br /><br />For Tampa those figures are 8.0% and 1 in 194,923,567. If they lose this week their 0-16 % jumps up to 13.3%.Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683noreply@blogger.com