tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post5838361714042599225..comments2008-02-22T15:06:47.492-05:00Comments on Vegas Watch: This Week's Links (2/18-2/22)Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683VegasWatch@gmail.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-68526626538187210622008-02-22T15:06:00.000-05:002008-02-22T15:06:00.000-05:002008-02-22T15:06:00.000-05:00You know, my initial reaction to your question was...You know, my initial reaction to your question was "Pretty much none, it's because of the DH", but I think Santana does have a noticeable effect.<BR/><BR/>From the FanGraphs numbers, he has averaged 42 BRAA the last three years, so he's saved his team about 42 runs more than the average pitcher. There were 2,268 AL games last year; per AL game, Santana averaged 0.0185 runs below average. That's obviously only half of it, since he's now allowing 42 runs fewer than average in the NL. So by this calculation his effect is 0.037 R/G, about 10% of the total discrepancy.<BR/><BR/>I think.Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-81211574461057062652008-02-22T14:51:00.000-05:002008-02-22T14:51:00.000-05:002008-02-22T14:51:00.000-05:00On Baseball Musings predicted runs per game, one c...On Baseball Musings predicted runs per game, one commenter noted that the AL's predictions are noticeably (.38 runs) higher.<BR/><BR/>How much of this do you think can be attributed solely to Santana leaving the league? Is that the sort of thing that can even be calculated?Portolahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07870569611833068487noreply@blogger.com