Comments on Vegas Watch: Sweet 16 Preview: Vegas Percentages

Good work on this, Jacob. Your analysis of your s...

2008-03-25T20:10:00.000-04:00

Good work on this, Jacob. Your analysis of your stats was a lot better than Luke's.

I was going to give you hell for picking Duke... until I remembered that you're still ahead of me in the pool (and likely to stay there)... haha.

rtmsf

I would not take the UCLA money line; you're setti...

2008-03-25T12:35:00.000-04:00

I would not take the UCLA money line; you're setting yourself up to lose too much money. They will probably beat WKU, but they might not, and they could easily lose to WVU in the Elite 8. I am not going to begin hedging until at least the Elite 8. It's still a real longshot, and it's not much risk, so I'm really just looking at it as a bonus at this point.

VW,Asking for your thoughts on hedging my Xavier f...

2008-03-25T09:33:00.000-04:00

VW,

Asking for your thoughts on hedging my Xavier futures bet. I'm considering taking UCLA to win the region at -300 (at sportsbook) right now for two reasons. One, I can't see WKU beating the Bruins. Two, if Xavier does move on to face UCLA, I doubt the UCLA moneyline will be lower than -300, and I planned on hedging starting in the Elite Eight anyhow.

I guess the other question is, If a hedge in the Elite Eight costs more than -300, is it too early to hedge? I think I'm talking myself into that and just letting it ride for two more games (hopefully).

Sames goes for me, Eric. Just didn't do enough re...

2008-03-25T09:00:00.000-04:00

Sames goes for me, Eric. Just didn't do enough research.

In Duke's case, what particularly impressed me was...

2008-03-25T08:36:00.000-04:00

In Duke's case, what particularly impressed me was their mystique. Unfortunately, it seems as though they've lost it. I wish I would have read about that before I picked them to reach the final four.

Agree with you that the Wizzou/UNC game will be cl...

2008-03-25T00:27:00.000-04:00

Agree with you that the Wizzou/UNC game will be close/exciting if only because of the contrasting styles. I think UNC will ultimately pull away but not until late in the 2nd half.

I should probably preface this by saying i am a huge NOVA fan, but absolutely NOBODY is giving Villanova a chance this weekend (perhaps rightfully so). Disrupting Kansas' offensive rhythm will be the biggest key for Nova. This Nova team reminds me of the team 3 years ago. That team went to the sweet 16 and played another #1 seed in a memorable contest that came down to a questionable traveling call (Allan Ray). That team was young as well and had their whole team returning for the following year. Of course UNC went on to win the National Championship but their toughest test that tournament came from those cats. Hopefully Nova puts up a similar fight this Friday night but comes up on the other side of the score column.

I have to disagree with Vegas Watch in your assessment that there "wasn't a clearly better option than Duke". What was it about Duke that impressed you in the regular season? UCLA, for the most part, ran through the regular season and Pac-10 tourney. I gotta believe they will use the A&M game as a motivator and play much better basketball on their way to the final 4.