"First Manager To 'Leave Post' Odds", March 28:
Is it obvious enough yet?
McLaren was definitely the best one here. Widely respected baseball men expected them to win 92 games, and they're on pace to lose 108. We nailed that one, they just canned a different guy.
But after that, how'd we miss Randolph? The manager of a team that blew a seven game lead in 18 days, which was expected to win 90+ games this year, in the biggest media market in the world. The fact that he got fired when they weren't even doing that poorly (34-35) only accentuates the point; there wasn't much margin for error.
Oh well. At least they handled it professionally.
Showing posts with label Managers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Managers. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 17, 2008
An Unfortunate Oversight
Friday, March 28, 2008
First Manager To "Leave Post" Odds
BetUS has put up odds on which MLB manager has been the first to "leave his post". They are listed below in their entirety.
The maximum wager on these is $10, so only the longshots are really worth looking at.
I really like McLaren at 40:1 here. People have high expectations for this team which are, well, misplaced. The Angels' injury issues have only given them more hope. If they get off to a bad start, McLaren isn't under contract after this year- he could be the first to go.
Some of these make very little sense. How is Wedge 16:1? His odds should be switched with McLaren's.
LaRussa is 40:1 because he's *Tony LaRussa* but, as the prop clearly states, he doesn't necessarily have to get fired. I could see him potentially stepping down at some point. It's not likely, but they're a better chance of that happening than Trey Hillman "leaving his post".
Bruce Bochy's contract runs through 2009, but I don't see how the manager of a team that bad has such high odds. Sabean has to blame somebody, doesn't he?
Black at 35:1 also seems decent, but nothing else really jumps out at me. Maybe some of you have further insight on the manager of your favorite team.
Update: Further insight on the McLaren odds from Sheehan's chat:
The maximum wager on these is $10, so only the longshots are really worth looking at.I really like McLaren at 40:1 here. People have high expectations for this team which are, well, misplaced. The Angels' injury issues have only given them more hope. If they get off to a bad start, McLaren isn't under contract after this year- he could be the first to go.
Some of these make very little sense. How is Wedge 16:1? His odds should be switched with McLaren's.
LaRussa is 40:1 because he's *Tony LaRussa* but, as the prop clearly states, he doesn't necessarily have to get fired. I could see him potentially stepping down at some point. It's not likely, but they're a better chance of that happening than Trey Hillman "leaving his post".
Bruce Bochy's contract runs through 2009, but I don't see how the manager of a team that bad has such high odds. Sabean has to blame somebody, doesn't he?
Black at 35:1 also seems decent, but nothing else really jumps out at me. Maybe some of you have further insight on the manager of your favorite team.
Update: Further insight on the McLaren odds from Sheehan's chat:
"Those are great odds. He doesn't have a track record or a name, expectations are high and unlikely to be met, and the GM is playing for his own job.Good bet. Er, if gambling were legal."
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