tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post2568617154144980409..comments2008-06-09T11:43:36.271-04:00Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-11676866678461122262008-06-09T11:43:00.000-04:002008-06-09T11:43:00.000-04:00Larry sucksGarethnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-40417164080750176882008-05-13T11:50:00.000-04:002008-05-13T11:50:00.000-04:00Chipper is up to about 1 in 318. Yesterday really helped.<BR/><BR/>The problem with figuring it out for Lee is that I have no idea what his "true" ERA is. I'd guess that Chipper hitting .400 is significantly more likely though.Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-45262306158390788552008-05-13T10:08:00.000-04:002008-05-13T10:08:00.000-04:00After last night's game I wonder which odds are better:<BR/><BR/>Chipper for .400 or Cliff Lee to finish with sub 1.12 ERA.<BR/><BR/>I'm sure both are highly unlikely, but it would be interesting to see who comes out on top.rwnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-91441056734458501712008-05-12T15:52:00.000-04:002008-05-12T15:52:00.000-04:00Nice article, this reminds me of the article in the <A HREF="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/30/opinion/30strogatz.html?_r=1&oref=slogin" REL="nofollow">NYTimes</A> a month or so ago about the odds of the 56 game hit streak, which showed that 56 game record that exists is about average over 10,000 seasons, with the max being over 100. Anyways, I wonder if .400 would have happened more recently than Ted Williams, and if the pressure has a statistically immeasurable effect on things, like, if Chipper goes into the last week with any kind of shot to bat .400, the news attention would be ridiculous.Ryanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03890998461830046945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-14462664506367821802008-05-12T13:33:00.000-04:002008-05-12T13:33:00.000-04:00This has nothing to do w/chipper, but i find it funny the Chad Ford updated his who's #1 thing like 2 days after you posted on this and changed both the heat and the bucks to Rose.Aramnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-75904926130340030722008-05-12T12:53:00.000-04:002008-05-12T12:53:00.000-04:00Seeing Chipper hit .400 would be awesome. I'd also like to see a plus-56-game hitting streak.Coley Whttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16517901894517548882noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-74125798408530823412008-05-12T12:37:00.000-04:002008-05-12T12:37:00.000-04:00Bonds '04 yes. But not power hitters in general, I don't think. Remember, strikeouts aren't included in BABiP (for obvious reasons), and power hitters tend to K a lot. They also tend to be slow, which hurts them on balls in play.<BR/><BR/>I think the three most important ingredients for hitting .400 are lots of walks (if only for the small AB sample size), not many Ks, and lots of line drives. HRs help, but they're not essential.Vegas Watchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02353166004125421683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-11428612314039294022008-05-12T11:16:00.000-04:002008-05-12T11:16:00.000-04:00Vegas,<BR/><BR/>If you assume that BABIP is largely a random stat (though it isn't totally), wouldn't it also be correct to assume that high power guys (like 2004 Bonds or Poo Holes) would also be better candidates to hit .400?<BR/><BR/>And, if the answer to that question is "yes," then why have the closest guys in the last 20 years or so been Brett, Olerud. and Galarraga? Random chance? High BABIP that year?am19psuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07708321591636782251noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-54422552026274855762008-05-12T10:12:00.000-04:002008-05-12T10:12:00.000-04:00Yeah, seeing a .400 hitter would be special. Chipper's also my favorite ballplayer, so to see him do it would be absolutely awesome.Ricky Thttp://thehungryjournalist.wordpress.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7965585998403674176.post-27205211785511078362008-05-12T00:13:00.000-04:002008-05-12T00:13:00.000-04:00This is one of the saddest parts of every baseball season: when the last challengers to .400 hit that inevitable rough spot and start to fall back to earth with the rest of the mortals.<BR/><BR/>Now that the Red Sox have won a World Series, my ultimate baseball dream would be to see a .400 hitter in my lifetime.One More Dying Quailhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01247696588053891194noreply@blogger.com