Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Totals Contest Update: May

There will be one of these at the beginning of each months. Lots of meaningless tables follow.

Everybody is doing pretty well so far, I'd say. The metric I made up to create these standings is very simple. It's just how many games a team is on pace to win, minus their over/under. Take, for example, the White Sox. They are 14-12, which is an 87.2 win pace. Their O/U was 78. So if you have their over, that's +9.2, and the under is -9.2.

Obviously, at the end of the season, you'll just get one point for each correct prediction, but this is a more interesting way to do it for now.

The average is +19.3. That's pretty good. Most of that can probably be attributed to the Oakland O, Detroit U, and Tampa O all doing very well- a lot of people had those. Here are the 10 best bets so far:


Almost 40% of entries had the St. Louis under, so that's not going very well. The Rockies' under is really looking good in light of the Tulowitzki news.

The "perfect" entry so far would be +187.1. With that in mind, here is the top 10:

JP, who I gather from his e-mail is an Angels fan, has the Tampa over, St. Louis over, Oakland over, San Diego under, and Toronto under. Nice.

And the bottom five (I am in 37th out of the 113 entries, by the way):

CJ- not to be confused with CJ S., who is in 73rd place- is really getting killed. Colorado over, Tampa under, St. Louis under, San Diego over, Arizona under- things are just not going well.

Everybody else's results are here.

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hoops